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Home » “Short String” options to trade with stocks trapped within trading ranges
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“Short String” options to trade with stocks trapped within trading ranges

adminBy adminSeptember 23, 2025No Comments5 Mins Read
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Toast Inc. (TOST), a leading provider of cloud-based restaurant management software, trades for around $40.75, firmly entrenched within the $30-$50 trading range observed over the past six months. This integration reflects the benefits of stable operational progress and the headwinds of the economy that experience relatively slow growth, growing consumers and relatively high ratings. The combination of technical, fundamental, and macroeconomic factors supports a range-bound outlook and reduces expectations for a significant breakout (or breakdown) without a large catalyst. When combined with a relatively high option premium, the implicit volatility for 3-6 months is close to 50%, and toast can present an interesting candidate for “short tension.” What is an inverse angle? The “Strangle” option strategy typically combines a money-of-the-money call option with an out-of-money put option with the same expiration date. It is said that there is a “long” tension when you buy an OTM call and buy an OTM Put. When you sell OTM calls and sell OTM puts, it is said to be a “short” strang. Note that in stranglehold, traders either buy both options or usually sell both options in the same amount. The 52-week low for Technical Setup TOST was $27.09, a hit in September 2024. The latest 52-week highs are at the highest level since the second half of 2021, following the September 2021 IPO. Since then, it has fallen by about 16%. The $30 level coincides with the multimonth lows tested in early 2025 amid a widespread market rotation away from advanced technology names, with $50 serving as psychological and historical resistance. Recent trading volumes, which average less than 5 million shares each day, have been oscillated with share prices between $40 and $45 over the past two weeks, indicating a conviction of a modest investor. The crossover failed to generate sustained momentum, so the moving average, such as 50 days, is $42.50, for example 50 days, and will further strengthen this channel for 200 days. Without volume surges and external triggers such as the Federal Reserve policy shift, TOST is likely to respect these boundaries, reflecting the patterns seen in peer software companies during uncertain economic stages. What about the fundamentals? Essentially, toast is resilient, but exhibits unfragmented growth, reducing the likelihood of an upward trend. The second quarter results, released on August 5th, showed annual recurring revenue (ARR), expanding 31% year-on-year to $1.9 billion. However, 13 cents of adjusted earnings per share missed 10 cents consensus estimates, highlighting margin pressures due to rising sales and marketing costs. Management’s full year 2025 total profit growth rate of 24% (down from 32-33% in 2024) indicates expansion easing. The rating metric is further fixed within this range. With a subsequent price-to-earning rate of 105.46 and a total of more than five times the stock command reflects its SaaS model, but makes re-ricks vulnerable in risk-off environments. Analyst consensus drawn from 24-34 companies evaluates purchases with an average price target of $45.42 to $52.17. The $60 high-end goal is subject to perfect execution and a low from revenue volatility, a negative side risk of a $40 underscore. Assuming that a company can achieve 1 share per share in adjusted EPS for the past 12 months of either quarter or second quarter, and representing annual net income growth rates for the mid-30s (as currently forecast by sell-side analysts), it could reasonably rate the stock between 35-40x previous earnings estimates. To achieve that faster, several factors must generally be consistent, including the continued strength of the stock. In general, it’s beginning to feel like it’s been expanding a bit, and performance has been degraded, especially over the past few weeks. The macroeconomic tailwinds are similarly muted. The restaurant sector, the core market for toast, is softening consumer spending amidst sustained inflation and potential labor market cooling, with the US GDP forecast projected to be 2.1% and 2.1%. While increasing sensitivity to discretionary spending could put pressure on adding locations, wider high-tech sector rotations favor established names over intermediate cap vandals like TOST. This year’s low could sell January 33/50 Strangle, as an example of assuming TOST thinks it’s unlikely to exceed $50 before it’s January expiration date (represents its four-year high) or below $30 per share. (The reason we notice Put Strike is slightly above the $30 level is because if the premium collected in the strategy is actually allocated, it actually happens when it is allocated because it is very close to the $30 level with a purchase of $30.27/sharp). The transaction looks like this… Disclosure: None. All opinions expressed by CNBC Pro contributors are their opinions solely and do not reflect the opinions of CNBC, NBC Universal, its parent company or its affiliates and may have been previously sown on television, radio, the Internet, or another medium. The above content is subject to our terms and conditions and privacy policy. This content is for informational purposes only and is not aware of any financial, investment, tax, legal advice or recommendations for purchasing security or other financial assets. Content is inherently general and does not reflect the unique personal circumstances of the individual. The above content may not be suitable for your particular situation. You should strongly consider seeking advice from your own financial or investment advisor before making any financial decisions. For the full disclaimer, click here.



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