On May 12, 2025 in Oakland, California, a Chinese shipping container is seen at the Port of Oakland as trade tensions over U.S. tariffs on China continue.
Carlos Barria | Reuters
BEIJING – China’s economy is likely to slow in the third quarter, with official data released on Monday expected to confirm the slowdown, according to a Reuters survey of analysts.
Analysts expected gross domestic product (GDP) to grow 4.8% in the July-September period from a year earlier, slowing from 5.2% in the previous quarter.
Fixed asset investment, including real estate, likely expanded by just 0.1% in the first nine months of this year, according to analysts’ estimates.
Retail sales are expected to slow to 3% year-on-year in September, and industrial production is likely to slow to 5%.
Official figures for September released so far show China’s exports continue to show resilience despite tensions with the US
The core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy, rose at the fastest pace since February 2024. However, as deflationary pressures continued, the headline inflation rate fell 0.3%, lower than expected.
