Excitement grew across Wall Street after Nvidia delivered yet another impressive quarterly result, with analysts predicting a clear rally ahead for the artificial intelligence masterpiece. In its fiscal fourth quarter, the semiconductor maker achieved adjusted earnings of $1.62 per share on revenue of $68.13 billion. This beat the $1.53 per share earnings and $66.21 billion in revenue expected by analysts surveyed by LSEG. The company won on all fronts expected, with NVIDIA reporting that it now derives 91% of its revenue from its data center division, home to its AI chips. Data center sales rose 75% year over year to $62.3 billion, beating expectations of $60.69 billion. The company’s net income nearly doubled from $22.1 billion, or 89 cents per share, to $43 billion, or $1.76 per share. And NVIDIA’s revenue outlook for the quarter is $78 billion (plus or minus 2%), again beating expectations of $72.6 billion. “The $78 billion revenue guidance beats almost every investor bogey we heard before the call, and the company’s demand commentary was probably the most bullish we’ve heard yet as outstandings pile up heading into C2027,” UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri wrote. Morgan Stanley’s Joseph Moore added: “This is the largest and cleanest beat and raise in the semiconductor industry’s history, beating out the second-best NVIDIA three months ago.” Investors are now gearing up for the release later this year of Vera Rubin, Nidia’s next-generation rackscale system. This is expected to outperform the chipmaker’s current Grace Blackwell Computing Platform, delivering a 10x improvement in performance per watt. Analysts across Wall Street collectively praised Nvidia’s impressive performance. However, the stock rose less than 1% in the pre-market on Thursday, with some pointing to persistent concerns about the unsustainability of capital spending. “While we are once again raising our expectations, this fundamental improvement is not paying off due to the aforementioned concerns about the sustainability of client capex (similar to those seen over the past six to nine months). We agree that valuations have become more attractive, but it remains to be seen what catalysts will help stocks emerge from their relative slump,” said Deutsche Bank’s Ross Seymour. Morgan Stanley’s Moore said concerns about the sustainability of these capital investments are more or less unfounded. “As expected, the bigger question for investors is durability and hyperscale cash flows are under pressure, but the underlying compute demand is clear,” he wrote. JPMorgan’s Harlan Sarr added that the stock’s lackluster reaction may be due to continued uncertainty over Nvidia’s data center growth trajectory next year. However, Sur similarly said that these persistent concerns about NVIDIA’s 2027 growth prospects are “likely overstated” as the chip maker’s order book for next year is filling up quickly, noting that the company is expected to see solid revenue growth again this year. This means that Nvidia clients’ capital expenditure budgets continue to increase. “The muted post-print share price reaction reflects continued market concerns around AI disruption (fatigue), strong upside from networking and computing in the reported quarter, and a further increase in data center sales of over $500 billion in CY25/26. However, we view this as short-term noise, with the stock trading at just 24x/18x in CY26/27E, giving the stock a compelling valuation,” Bank of America added. Analyst Vivek Arya. As a further impetus for the future, analysts pointed to Nvidia’s GTC AI conference in San Jose next month. In short, analysts maintained a long-term bullish stance on Nvidia. Beyond Germany’s Seymour, many see a clear path for the chipmaker to outperform going forward. “Taking a step back, NVDA looks to us like a coiled spring that has tightened even further following this earnings call, with the stock trading at around 19x pre-call CY27E EPS,” said JPMorgan’s Soule. Here’s how analysts at some of Wall Street’s biggest shops reacted to this print. Deutsche Bank: Rating Affirmed, Price Target $220 Deutsche Bank’s price target has been raised from $215, implying an approximately 12% upside from Nvidia’s Wednesday closing price of $195.56. “Importantly, the company’s AI optimism only grows with confidence that Blackwell and Rubin’s cumulative shipments will reach approximately $500 billion, supported by continued advances not only in hyperscalers and cloud providers, but also in AI model makers, enterprises, and sovereign nations (as evidenced by a series of announcements during the quarter, including partnerships with Meta, Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, and more). We remain very impressed by its continued leadership in computing, networking, software and systems capabilities, and the gap with its competitors still looks more likely to persist than narrow.” UBS: Buy, $245 UBS forecast represents a 25% upside. “Despite all this strength, the stock price remained flat in the aftermarket, likely due in part to the new inclusion of stock-based compensation in non-GAAP EPS, which actually means reducing C2026E EPS. After all, it’s hard to see how the stock price will continue to slump, especially given the Y/Y growth rate (which is actually highly correlated with NVDA stock, see Figure 1 NVDA RevnuGrowth).” Y/vsStock PrieY/) begins to re-accelerate in C2H:26E, and growth in investor favorites such as memory/optical/semi-cap begins to slow. ” Goldman Sachs: Buy, $250 The bank’s target calls for 28% upside going forward. “Unlike some past quarters, we now see a clearer path for stocks to outperform the market in the coming months. And we see three key factors contributing to stock outperformance: First, hyperscaler capital spending in 2026 We expect to see an upside to forecasts and early signs of increased capital spending in 2027. Second, we expect to see more visibility into spending intentions from Nvidia’s non-traditional customers such as OpenAI and Anthropic.” As new AI models trained on Nvidia are released to the market, we expect Nvidia to reaffirm its competitive advantage over other AI chips in the coming months and accelerate its growth profile in 2026 while remaining competitive in the market. Morgan Stanley: Overweight, $260 Morgan Stanley’s forecast is up from $250, 33% above Nvidia’s Wednesday closing price. “NVIDIA reported revenue that beat estimates by $3 billion for the second consecutive quarter and beat consensus by $5 billion. This points us toward growth in each quarter of this year and is focused on continuing into 2027.” JPMorgan: Overweight, $265 JPMorgan’s forecast was raised from $250, about 36% above the price at which NVIDIA is currently trading. “The stock price reaction suggests investors want more, given the significantly expanded capex budgets for major customers (total capex for the top five U.S. hyperscalers is projected to grow by up to 70% year-over-year to more than $650 billion in 2026). NVDA looks like a coiled spring that has tightened even more after this series of results. Barclays: Overweight, $275 Barclays’ target represents a 41% upside. “The questions that came up in the paper revolved around the lack of short-term catalysts and the sustainability of profitability. First, the company is expected to have a significant All long-term comments are positive.More news could emerge from GTC’s recent acquisition, which could help lift the stock out of its paralysis.” 21x CY27E Multiple for $13.05 (from $11.20) This is the most interesting name in the group. ”Jeffries: Buy, $275 “We expect a significant beat-and-raise as Blackwell’s shipments are solid and the demand outlook extends to 2027. NVDA was already cheap, but with C27’s EPS upside case likely to rise above $14, it looks significantly cheaper.” Citi: Buy, $300 The bank’s expectations have been raised from $270, and from here about approx. This suggests an increase of 53%. “NVDA stock was mostly flat post-market despite the $5 billion beat in 4-Q and revenue reaching $78 billion on exponential agent AI demand. We expect it to showcase SRAM’s low-latency inference, CPUs, and optical networking.Additionally, early visibility into 2027 revenue could help drive the stock higher.”Bank of America: Buy, $300 The bank raised its price forecast from $275. “We believe that NVDA’s results have exceeded expectations, with first quarter (indicative) sales growth of 73%/63%/56% year-on-year, and we believe that we will continue to grow our next-generation flagship product, Vera, in the second half of this year. Even before Rubin products start ramping up in earnest, they’ve accelerated 73%/63%/56% year-over-year in the last three quarters, and with supply commitments more than tripled year over year to $95 billion, NVDA could be the most trusted supplier to serve an AI market that we believe will double to $1.4 trillion over the next few years.”Bernstein: Outperform, $300. Bernstein raised its stock price forecast from $275. “Of course, given the recent capital spending outlook, supply chain trends, and Mr. Jensen’s own recent actions and commentary, investors widely expected this print to be good, and we believe this print hit on all cylinders.” (which hasn’t been exciting lately) has remained relatively quiet, although the enormity of the numbers at hand may have spooked investors a little.Nevertheless, the $12-plus figure for 2027 offered by the buy-side is considered very plausible as demand shows no signs of slowing down. (Suggesting that a peak may not be imminent, despite concerns.) And NVDA appears to be in a very good position to capture that demand. ”
